Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.442717 0.485373 0.531750 0.586165 0.648577 0.718303 0.802619
2025-08-24 0.367166 0.424674 0.492118 0.578076 0.686225 0.819882 1.000976
2025-08-31 0.321507 0.385063 0.463440 0.569198 0.711402 0.901013 1.182216
2025-09-07 0.295377 0.363737 0.451533 0.575748 0.752563 1.004805 1.411735
2025-09-14 0.269147 0.338413 0.430154 0.564806 0.765362 1.067788 1.592063
2025-09-21 0.250951 0.321446 0.417435 0.563141 0.789571 1.149735 1.820626
2025-09-28 0.231020 0.300102 0.396170 0.545845 0.786368 1.185825 1.976016
2025-10-05 0.224740 0.297076 0.400357 0.566681 0.845802 1.336699 2.391564
2025-10-12 0.217526 0.291951 0.400714 0.581129 0.896138 1.480803 2.843283
2025-10-19 0.207952 0.282550 0.393639 0.582460 0.923284 1.585822 3.245793
2025-10-26 0.196018 0.268775 0.378661 0.568908 0.921164 1.631175 3.517443
2025-11-02 0.184862 0.255490 0.363474 0.553473 0.913322 1.662752 3.765207
2025-11-09 0.175284 0.244375 0.351454 0.543298 0.916065 1.722205 4.134789
2025-11-16 0.166771 0.234490 0.340848 0.534834 0.921543 1.790576 4.574769
2025-11-23 0.159086 0.225456 0.330996 0.526750 0.926619 1.859342 5.059168
2025-11-30 0.154603 0.221239 0.328834 0.532624 0.961944 2.012710 5.964566
2025-12-07 0.147737 0.212790 0.318914 0.522791 0.961488 2.072001 6.538055
2025-12-14 0.142796 0.207217 0.313569 0.521295 0.979579 2.187612 7.469503
2025-12-21 0.135945 0.198164 0.301622 0.505739 0.963017 2.199222 7.903990
2025-12-28 0.134937 0.198742 0.306611 0.524477 1.030532 2.484428 10.173745
2026-01-04 0.133069 0.197755 0.308701 0.537454 1.086277 2.753930 12.841513
2026-01-11 0.129631 0.193913 0.305346 0.538648 1.112200 2.932012 15.221508
2026-01-18 0.124582 0.187084 0.296114 0.526477 1.101165 2.973453 16.539997